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Stewart Brand thinks big and long. He thinks on a planetary scale – as suggested by the title of his celebrated Whole Earth Catalog – and on the longest of timeframes, as with his Long Now Foundation, which looks forward to the next 10,000 years of human civilisation. He has had a lifelong fascination with the future, and anything that could get us there faster, from space travel to psychedelic drugs to computing. In fact, he was arguably the bridge between the San Francisco counterculture of the 60s and present-day Silicon Valley: in his commencement speech at Stanford University in 2005, Steve Jobs eulogised the Whole Earth Catalog and Brand’s philosophy, and echoed its farewell mantra: “Stay hungry. Stay foolish.”
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“阿英”和“客边”，就像阿爸身边两个偶尔经过的人。
核心指标2025年预期 (中国)2026年预期 (中国)全球主要经济体趋势 (2026)政策暗示与微观影响GDP实际增速5.0%左右 [1]4.5% - 4.8% [6, 10]2.7% - 3.3% (分化显著) [11, 12]增长质量优于增长速度，寻找结构性溢价 [7]CPI通胀水平止跌企稳 [5]0.6% - 0.72% (温和回升) [8, 9]3.1% (全球平均回落) [10]消费意愿修复，有利于服务业与溢价品牌 [1, 5]制造业投资稳中向好 [13]触底回升 (拉动主力) [5]AI相关基建持续高涨 [5, 14]“数智化”技改成为制造业生存门槛 [15, 16]出口增长率5.5% [13]压力与机遇并存 [1, 17]增速放缓至0.5%-2.2% [10, 17]多元化市场（东盟、拉美）替代北美单一依赖 [13, 18]财政政策基调积极有为 [3]更加给力、投资于人 [1]普遍收紧但结构性扩张 [11]民生补贴与技能培训领域的公共支出增加 [5, 7]